Sean t rcp twitter.

Dr. Sean T at RCP, Ph.D.'s Threads - Thread Reader App. Aug 9 • 14 tweets • 3 min read. Save as PDF. Today is my son Judson's 16th Birthday.

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“One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/”Log in. Sign upIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Look, it sounds like the debate is an utter disaster for him. But few will watch it, and it's a hard thing to go on the attack about without inspiring a backlash. This hurts Fetterman, but I don't think things have shifted all that dramatically.”

Aug 30, 2021 · Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. 1 Tem 2023 ... Future Healthc J: Vol. 10, Issue 2 (July 2023) · EDITORIAL · MENTAL HEALTH SPECIAL · ORIGINAL RESEARCH · REVIEW · CASE STUDY · SHORT QI REPORT.“But Kaine and Warner are pretty young, so his political career is already done. His private sector prospects are . . . limited right now. This probably isn't an impeachable offense. 100% apart from doing the right thing, why do we think he leaves? 2/2”

“On the uncontested House races, it is obviously proper to try to estimate vote totals for those seats. It's weird that people are suddenly super keyed in on this known-for-decades-but-always-ignore-issue, but whatevs. There are 10R uncontested and 2D. BUT . …

The silver lining for Ds is this: Ciattarelli came close to Christie's 2013 showing in Passaic, (when Christie won by 22 statewide), but likely loses. In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersErick is a Research Hydrologist at the USGS Geology, Minerals, Energy, and Geophysics Science Center. He specializes in the development of methods and tools ...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

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“The people hunting “deplorables” ARE THE BAD GUYS. Seriously, it’s about an uprising against a bunch of effete, entitled international elites in cars with EU plates led by a Mississippian in a body-suit apparently modeled …

Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. Replying to . ... Paging . @ron_fournier. #isgreenlanternreal? 7:40 PM · Mar 25, 2014 · Twitter for iPhone. 1. Like. Sean T at RCP is a free elfLog in. Sign up Jun 1, 2022 · “Any of the remaining three presents a strong case, to my mind. I don't think it's AotC though. OK, fine, "I don't like sand" is arguably the worst or second worst line in all Star Wars history. But if you pull the Padme/Anakin romance and ninja Yoda stuff, it isn't terrible. 2/” Oct 19, 2022 · “I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incinerating the Greens comes from the weird gender politics the show has embraced. One of the interesting thing about GOT was it wasn't afraid to make the female characters as crazy and murderous as the men. 1/” Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende. ... Still early, but she's running ahead of Obama in 7 of the 8 IN counties reporting. 11:50 PM · Nov 8, 2016 · Twitter Web Client. 225.“@nataliemj10 @rp_griffin Oh I think it's probably maybe 5-10% of the population (though overrepresented on social media). But I also think the motivator for a large chunk of that isn't really safety.”May 21, 2021 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

“@nataliemj10 @rp_griffin Oh I think it's probably maybe 5-10% of the population (though overrepresented on social media). But I also think the motivator for a large chunk of that isn't really safety.”“Which was a huge miscalculation on his part (I remember some offical basically saying "no Republican president would be crazy enough to undo this." Oops.) Anyway ...“Don't get me wrong, your best bet with pols is often to be cynical. But the options here seem to be some combination of Manchin is (a) sincere-ish, (b) thinks he's going to win re-election in 2024, (c) feels a duty not to represent his R+23 state as if it were Vermont.”Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "So my Voting & Participation class drew an Ohio map without ever turning on the political map, and came up with this. It isn't 100% …In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“I don't know that there is much more that we realistically could have done in Afghanistan, but it's just really sad to watch this if you're old enough to remember ink-stained fingers, Karzai in his cool hat, and the general air of hopefulness that once prevailed there.”Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.

Articles by Sean Trende on Muck Rack. Find Sean Trende's email address, contact information, LinkedIn, Twitter, other social media and more. For PR Pros. . Overview. …“On hearsay: First, it doesn't matter for right now, because this isn't a trial. At the same time, the hearsay rule isn't just some legal mumbo-jumbo, it's rooted in the common sense notion that you're more skeptical of evidence offered second- …

Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. I've been sitting on this since this AM, but since proper notifications are out: I'm sad to report that Prof. Bear Braumoeller passed away this AM. ... He didn't have to do that, and I'm forever grateful to him. He leaves behind a wife and 7-year-old daughter. 2/ 1. 25. Sean T at RCP is a free elf“Anyway, this might be a one-off thing. I hope it's a one off thing, and not another example of liberalism, having become ascendant in American politics, abandoning some of the principles that enabled it to begin its ascent out of fear that something else might replace it. 6/”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@JenRodbowers @BenjySarlin The R won by 10 points in a district that went for Romney by 2 and Clinton by 7. I don't want to overstate the importance but I don't think you can just dismiss it as "the district leaned R anyway" either.”Jun 15, 2022 · @SeanTrende This is sort of how I felt seeing some of the shifts in Appalachia in 2010, or blue collar areas in 2016. Except this I genuinely didn't think I'd see for another 20 years or so. Just astonishing. 12:40 AM · Jun 15, 2022 236 96 1,051 81 Bookmarks Log in. Sign up“On the uncontested House races, it is obviously proper to try to estimate vote totals for those seats. It's weird that people are suddenly super keyed in on this known-for-decades-but-always-ignore-issue, but whatevs. There are 10R uncontested and 2D. BUT . …

Since Twitter seems reasonably likely to go away in the next couple of years, my 2c: Obvs the site is miserable, but there's an entire generation of top-notch young analysts like @JMilesColeman who probably would have gone unnoticed but for Twitter. 1/ 31 Oct 2022 01:42:44

Sean T at RCP. @SeanTrende. So the shifts in New Jersey should be much more concerning to Democrats than the more-or-less uniform swing we saw in Virginia. …

“@shundle So if what we're seeing is more about Ds being hyperenthusiastic, rather than people changing minds, we might expect to see something like what I've sketched out.”When stars like Bryan Cranston and Aaron Paul or Sean Hayes and Eric McCormack remind us that they're off-screen besties, it casts a warm glow over the legacy of their shows.RT @davidshor: To be more pointed - Catalist data shows that non-college voters of color have trended *enormously* toward the GOP since 2012, by similar magnitudes as non-college whites (particularly on a logit scale!). Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende This MT-Sen scandal might just be an opening salvo that will get much worse but for now I suspect a hit piece from business insider about 15 year old Facebook pics probably helps in …“Basic take on the Senate: There are 5 true tossups, with a handful of states on the periphery. Most of the R states have broken away in the last couple of weeks. So, for example, Budd v. Beasley might have been an upset pick, but it is going the wrong way. 1/”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“The story that makes the most sense re the leak is actually Chief Justice Roberts, trying to illustrate to a swing justice what the backlash would be like. But it is also completely out of character for Roberts; burn the village to save the village isn't his style. So, no. 1/”Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton talks during a news conference following a win over the Green Bay Packers in an NFL football game Oct. 23, 2023, in Denver.When you think of celebrities who endorse Bitcoin, Elon Musk is probably among the first names that come to mind. Musk, whose company Tesla holds billions of dollars in Bitcoin, has been at the forefront of the cryptocurrency revolution for...“@rem110892 My pt is better to learn the lesson now than later in life when the consequences really are more severe (obvs not the death penalty lol). For this, a clear statement from the league and a "two strikes and you're out for the season" rule would suffice for me, others want more.”

01 Nov 2022 23:09:39Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende Of the congressional districts used in 2020, name the top 3 that swung the most toward Republicans (at the presidential level) from 2008, and the three that swung the most toward Democrats.Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at ...Instagram:https://instagram. byu ranking accountingk j adams basketballkatie hansonperris elis Sep 1, 2021 · “One problem Biden has is that he doesn't have much "crawl-over-broken-glass-twice-to-vote-for-him" type support. That inoculated Obama and Trump from a total wipeout. He really could completely collapse.” “My hot take is that George Martin pretty clearly lost the motivation to finish the main series after the show overtook him, and he should just do a lengthy blog post giving the outlines of how he would have ended it and then go … u of u summer 2023 schedulephd behavioral science online “But Kaine and Warner are pretty young, so his political career is already done. His private sector prospects are . . . limited right now. This probably isn't an impeachable offense. 100% apart from doing the right thing, why do we think he leaves? 2/2” goal roblox trello In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“On cultural issues, this will be, at least for the present, quite "liberal," but on economic issues, especially regarding things like the deficit, it will tend to be reasonably centrist, or even center-right. On foreign policy it will tend to …