Sean t rcp twitter.

Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende Sr. Elections Analyst at RCP. Co-Author, Almanac Am. Pols. 2014. Recovering Attorney. If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention.“@KevinMKruse It's possible, but he'd have to be pretty sure the leak would flip a vote, or think that it would blunt the impact of the decision in June by spreading out the news cycle (the latter is more plausible imo).”“Think of it this way: We're in a river channel right now with levies on either side, and the river is rising. As long as we stay in the channel seat losses will be surprisingly muted. But if the river rises much higher, all hell breaks loose …“.@FiveThirtyEight nowcast up to 32.2% Trump. So we're at Russian Roulette with bullets in two cylinders.”

“@Izengabe_ @fawfulfan More to the point, the typical way we do a quick-and-dirty assessment of a state's political orientation is PVI, and Kentucky is a point redder than Vermont is blue. If one wants to make a nuanced critique of CPVI here that's fine, but at that point you've lost the plot.”https://twitter.com/amyewalter/status/1545114625141837826 If you look at what Reagan was elected to do: defeat the Soviet Union/reignite American exceptionalism, lower taxes, slow the pace of social change, defeat inflation, etc., it was all accomplished by 1992.

Sean Hannity is a conservative talk show host who can be heard on the radio, on his podcasts and on his own show on Fox News. There are a couple ways that you can try and get in contact with him, if you so desire.

In today’s fast-paced world, staying up to date with current events is more important than ever. With so much happening around us, it can be challenging to find reliable sources of news and information. That’s where Sean Hannity Live comes ...Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende The losses this term were really aggressive asks on the VRA and ISL. and even there Kav and Roberts left a trail of crumbs on how to get to the desired outcome next time.Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton talks during a news conference following a win over the Green Bay Packers in an NFL football game Oct. 23, 2023, in Denver.VA-10 was carried by McAuliffe by like 3 points, so if that flips it is beyond something we've seen in our lifetime and Rs are going to have 250+ seats.

In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

Mar 1, 2016 · Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. “My take after three years in a poli sci grad program reading "the literature": People should use "suggests" a whole lot more, "demonstrates," "proves," "shows," "confirms" less. You can just give me my doctorate now for that compelling insight.”“If you don't want to know about the horse race, it's a big internet! Lots of people write about policy. In fact, there are more of them than there are of us, in part because there's no real mystery about the types of …5 Haz 2018 ... This paper contributes to the literature on the explanation of housing prices and the impact of many but small.In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Most people on this site sort into the relatively extreme positions of the two major parties: Almost no restrictions and government-funded, or made illegal. But when analyzing the impact of this opinion, just remember that most voters don't sort neatly into either camp. 2/”Things will change, and the voters will get another say in two years. Sean Trende is senior elections analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is a co-author of the 2014 Almanac of American Politics and ...

Jun 6, 2021 · “Don't get me wrong, your best bet with pols is often to be cynical. But the options here seem to be some combination of Manchin is (a) sincere-ish, (b) thinks he's going to win re-election in 2024, (c) feels a duty not to represent his R+23 state as if it were Vermont.” In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersJan 26, 2022 · Log in. Sign up “@GreenPastelRed @mjs_DC @Slate Sure! It’s also possible that Roberts blinked in Kisor and is having Kagan write a narrow opinion. Lots of possibilities.”9 Kas 2022 ... Live updating with the latest developments from the 2022 midterm elections, including the results in Arizona and Nevada, as Democrats ...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Could just be a bump in the road, but feels like things could get real, real quick. Or maybe it's just general PTSD from COVID-related stuff.”

Team with biggest starting budget in Football Manager 2024 aren't playable on the game. Four out of the top five teams with the highest transfer budgets in Football Manager 2024 are not playable ...May 21, 2021 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

Log in. Sign up“Anyway, this might be a one-off thing. I hope it's a one off thing, and not another example of liberalism, having become ascendant in American politics, abandoning some of the principles that enabled it to begin its ascent out of fear that something else might replace it. 6/”Nov 8, 2018 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users “One final thought on the Clinton-Comey thing. It's fashionable to refer to "just needing to flip 40,000 votes across three states"”Aug 31, 2020 · Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "Oh. My. God.… " Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende Follow @SeanTrende Oh. My. God. 7:29 AM - 31 Aug 2020 1,201 Retweets 10,113 Likes 848 replies 1,201 retweets 10,113 likes Teddy Fusaro @teddyfuse 31 Aug 2020 Replying to @SeanTrende this can't be real! 1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes 1 8 Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende 31 Aug 2020 “.@FiveThirtyEight nowcast up to 32.2% Trump. So we're at Russian Roulette with bullets in two cylinders.”Nov 8, 2018 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users “On cultural issues, this will be, at least for the present, quite "liberal," but on economic issues, especially regarding things like the deficit, it will tend to be reasonably centrist, or even center-right. On foreign policy it will tend to …Nov 8, 2022 · “Basic take on the Senate: There are 5 true tossups, with a handful of states on the periphery. Most of the R states have broken away in the last couple of weeks. So, for example, Budd v. Beasley might have been an upset pick, but it is going the wrong way. 1/” In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

1 Mar 2018 ... Christian Greico breaks down his win in the Toyota Series Northern Division event on the Potomac River. Additionally, he goes in-depth on ...

“Anyway,that's why VIII is the worst main storyline film. It destroys too much of the main storyline to leave any hope of wrapping things up in the final film. In fact, if I learned that Johnson was intentionally sabotaging the series, it …

Nov 8, 2022 · “Alright, Florida (mostly), Georgia, IN-01, Western KY, SC, VT and VA are on deck. Then at 8, all hell breaks loose.” 08 Sep 2022 18:37:23“@kkondik Yeah, the shift in the non-urban, non -Deep South over the past 20 years is probably the most consequential — and least well understood — shifts of our lifetime.”“@BenjySarlin This is one of the key reasons we have such wide bands on our "tossup" category for now. No one really knows how to model this thing.”“@rem110892 My pt is better to learn the lesson now than later in life when the consequences really are more severe (obvs not the death penalty lol). For this, a clear statement from the league and a "two strikes and you're out for the season" rule would suffice for me, others want more.”“Alright, Florida (mostly), Georgia, IN-01, Western KY, SC, VT and VA are on deck. Then at 8, all hell breaks loose.”Apr 18, 2021 · Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "For people under 16 this is less deadly than the flu. Not even on my radar of considerations. And as I said, in a few weeks if you haven't received your vaccine, it's pretty much on you. Especially given the teeny tiny risk of outdoor transmission to begin with.… https://t.co/Dw7OXIHcO4" Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love …Nov 10, 2022 · “One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/” “Fox and Friends” airs Monday through Friday from 6 a.m. to 9 a.m. EST on the Fox News Channel. Viewers can connect to “Fox and Friends” on Facebook, Twitter, Email and Instagram. “Fox and Friends” provides a link directly on their website ...So SC-1 is an interesting case. It's basically divvied up between Beaufort County and then three counties in the Charleston area: Charleston, Dorchester and Berkeley, with bits of other two other counties thrown in.

5 Haz 2018 ... This paper contributes to the literature on the explanation of housing prices and the impact of many but small.“@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.”Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "So my Voting & Participation class drew an Ohio map without ever turning on the political map, and came up with this. It isn't 100% …Instagram:https://instagram. paige vanzant leaked nude onlyfanstennis womanuniversity of kansas clubsuniversity of kansas sororities We all know that some people are just predisposed to say stupid things. Still, it’s one thing to see it on Twitter and another to hear it from the mouth of the person sleeping next to you. It’s not your fault.“On hearsay: First, it doesn't matter for right now, because this isn't a trial. At the same time, the hearsay rule isn't just some legal mumbo-jumbo, it's rooted in the common sense notion that you're more skeptical of evidence offered second- or third-hand. But first:” sic code 73737seamstress and alterations near me In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“On cultural issues, this will be, at least for the present, quite "liberal," but on economic issues, especially regarding things like the deficit, it will tend to be reasonably centrist, or even center-right. On foreign policy it will tend to … 7.0 gpa Nov 6, 2022 · “This remains the key chart for how big GOP House gains will be: Biden vote share by the number of districts with that vote share. At R+3 or so nationally, the GOP starts to climb the levy that Democrats built with Biden +10 (or so) districts. 1/” “This is insane. 20 years ago the all-in at Duke Law (tuition, living expenses, books) was about $40k. I don’t think the education provided has improved *that* much.”